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According to your link, their fertility rate is changing from 7 to 4. But the population keeps growing exponentially. > Having said that, the reduction in the

• toomuchtodo 2y ago
  Population momentum [1] [2] [3] [4]. The same reason global population is headed to 10 billion people by 2100 from 8 billion today even though the fertility rate is rapidly declining today. Think of it like the "long and variable lag" of monetary policy (where it takes time for the system to change when inputs are changed). Africa's population will continue to increase like a roller coaster peaking from historical fertility rate, and then begin the decline incurred by the current fertility rate decline. How quickly the fertility rate continues to decline in Africa is a function of how quickly the continent develops/urbanizes, and how robust women empowerment and education continues into the future. [1] https://populationeducation.org/population-momentum-explained/ https://populationeducation.org/population-momentum-explaine... [2] https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-programs/events/stiph/fertility-and-population-momentum.pdf https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-progr... [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum [4] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3345894/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3345894/