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They seem to be totally OK with the population of Sub-Saharan Africa growing exponentially, though. Like they are carbon-offsetting or something. [0] https://w

by alecco 2y ago

They seem to be totally OK with the population of Sub-Saharan Africa growing exponentially, though. Like they are carbon-offsetting or something. [0] https://www.ft.com/content/868e20d0-90ec-11e9-b7ea-60e35ef678d2 https://www.ft.com/content/868e20d0-90ec-11e9-b7ea-60e35ef67...

toomuchtodo 2y ago
https://www.afd.fr/en/actualites/dramatic-drop-fertility-across-africa https://www.afd.fr/en/actualites/dramatic-drop-fertility-acr...
- alecco 2y ago
  According to your link, their fertility rate is changing from 7 to 4. But the population keeps growing exponentially. > Having said that, the reduction in the number of children per woman does not keep the population from continuing to rise in Africa because fertility rates remain high.
  - toomuchtodo 2y ago
    Population momentum [1] [2] [3] [4]. The same reason global population is headed to 10 billion people by 2100 from 8 billion today even though the fertility rate is rapidly declining today. Think of it like the "long and variable lag" of monetary policy (where it takes time for the system to change when inputs are changed). Africa's population will continue to increase like a roller coaster peaking from historical fertility rate, and then begin the decline incurred by the current fertility rate decline. How quickly the fertility rate continues to decline in Africa is a function of how quickly the continent develops/urbanizes, and how robust women empowerment and education continues into the future. [1] https://populationeducation.org/population-momentum-explained/ https://populationeducation.org/population-momentum-explaine... [2] https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-programs/events/stiph/fertility-and-population-momentum.pdf https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-progr... [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum [4] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3345894/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3345894/
beaglesss 2y ago
The world has entered an interesting phase where a large portion of the world that is inhospitable to investment of capital has become a breeding grounds with high birth rates, and western societies poach a top percent of their talent, plus whoever can brave the Darien gap or a risky oceanic raft journey. In a way it's best we continue to encourage socialist and other capital hostile policies in their territories to ensure our dominance and a continually screening of a fraction of their populace for immigration to man the levers.

by alecco 2y ago

toomuchtodo 2y ago

https://www.afd.fr/en/actualites/dramatic-drop-fertility-across-africa https://www.afd.fr/en/actualites/dramatic-drop-fertility-acr...

alecco 2y ago
According to your link, their fertility rate is changing from 7 to 4. But the population keeps growing exponentially. > Having said that, the reduction in the number of children per woman does not keep the population from continuing to rise in Africa because fertility rates remain high.
- toomuchtodo 2y ago
  Population momentum [1] [2] [3] [4]. The same reason global population is headed to 10 billion people by 2100 from 8 billion today even though the fertility rate is rapidly declining today. Think of it like the "long and variable lag" of monetary policy (where it takes time for the system to change when inputs are changed). Africa's population will continue to increase like a roller coaster peaking from historical fertility rate, and then begin the decline incurred by the current fertility rate decline. How quickly the fertility rate continues to decline in Africa is a function of how quickly the continent develops/urbanizes, and how robust women empowerment and education continues into the future. [1] https://populationeducation.org/population-momentum-explained/ https://populationeducation.org/population-momentum-explaine... [2] https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-programs/events/stiph/fertility-and-population-momentum.pdf https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-progr... [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_momentum [4] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3345894/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3345894/

beaglesss 2y ago

The world has entered an interesting phase where a large portion of the world that is inhospitable to investment of capital has become a breeding grounds with high birth rates, and western societies poach a top percent of their talent, plus whoever can brave the Darien gap or a risky oceanic raft journey. In a way it's best we continue to encourage socialist and other capital hostile policies in their territories to ensure our dominance and a continually screening of a fraction of their populace for immigration to man the levers.