I don't agree with point 3: "Small changes in context (people/places/features you want to support) often radically change how well a program fits its context.

I don't agree with point 3: "Small changes in context (people/places/features you want to support) often radically change how well a program fits its context. Our dominant milieu of short-termism doesn't prepare us for this fact." My opinion here is that short-termism is precisely a consequence of the hardness of predicting/keeping up with these small changes: businesses prefer to be able to adapt quickly to new scenarios rather than risking being stuck in the wrong direction.