4 ms·
Wonder if people becoming even more overworked than what they already are will manage to drop the fertility rate in SK from ~0.7 to ~0.5.
by Qem 2y ago
Wonder if people becoming even more overworked than what they already are will manage to drop the fertility rate in SK from ~0.7 to ~0.5.
- HPsquared 2y agoFunnily enough this is one of the only areas NK is doing better than SK. It's quite an important one..
- avisser 2y ago0.5 is so wild. Gen1: 100 people: 50 men + 50 women; 50 women have 25 babies Gen2: 26 people: 13 men + 12 women (for math); 12 women have 6 babies Gen3: 6 people So 100 people end up having 6 total grandkids between all of them. In the US, you hear about Boomer grandparents who have at least 10 grandchildren.
- Balgair 2y agoI was going to say that the math was off by 2, but nope, you're right. Fertility rate is based on each woman, not on a couple. Even if they kept the 0.81 rate that they are on, then you'd get: Gen1: 100 people: 50 men + 50 women; 50 women have 40 babies (40.5, but lest round to just 40) Gen2: 40 people: 20 men + 20 women; 20 women have 16 babies Gen3: 16 people Given that the current average age of a woman at the time of her first birth in SK is 33 years old (!?!?!), you'd expect the 100 people of SK to be just 16 people somewhere near 2090. Meaning that it's current population of ~52M goes to ~8M in ~70 years. An 84% reduction in 66 years, or 1.28% per year. And it looks only like it'll get worse for them. I can't think of any war or plague or natural disaster or famine that has ever done such a number to a population of that size over that long of a time. Granted, that hasn't happened yet. Still, whatever the hell is happening to them is something to be avoided like a war or a famine or a plague.