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At 10 times revenues, to give you a 10-year payback, I have to pay you 100% of revenues for 10 straight years in dividends. That assumes I can get that by my sh
by baq 2y ago
At 10 times revenues, to give you a 10-year payback, I have to pay you 100% of revenues for 10 straight years in dividends. That assumes I can get that by my shareholders. That assumes I have zero cost of goods sold, which is very hard for a computer company. That assumes zero expenses, which is really hard with 39,000 employees. That assumes I pay no taxes, which is very hard. And that assumes you pay no taxes on your dividends, which is kind of illegal. And that assumes with zero R&D for the next 10 years, I can maintain the current revenue run rate. Now, having done that, would any of you like to buy my stock at $64? Do you realize how ridiculous those basic assumptions are? You don’t need any transparency. You don’t need any footnotes. What were you thinking?
-- Scott McNealy, CEO of Sun Microsystems, ~2002
- nabla9 2y agoNvidia price is 33 times revenue. ;)
- baq 2y agoYes, if this really unwinds, there’ll be a lot of surprised people. Not my base case, though. Reflexivity would be really bad for the economy. Regulators won’t allow it.
- philsnow 2y ago> to give you a 10-year payback, I have to pay you 100% of revenues for 10 straight years in dividends My understanding is that a lot of (tech) investors these days do not want dividends, they want growth.