3 ms·

I'm a terrible developer, most people here wouldnt even consider me one. I have thought about this a lot. Lets follow this all the way to the bottom: all codin

by bloqs 2y ago

I'm a terrible developer, most people here wouldnt even consider me one. I have thought about this a lot. Lets follow this all the way to the bottom: all coding employees are replaced by one very senior one who is AI assisted. One thought -How are juniors turned into seniors? Lets say that we solve that with some yet to be invented educational solution, and then companies that arent code heavy would hire them for much less money or something like that. The senior developer always keeps his job, because we cant have non technicals deploying LLM code yet. Then maybe that becomes solved, so your non technical CTO can deploy code. This then creates an environments where fuck ups are on the CTO for being non technical. The blame aspect is the reason for this, its political. Or it creates an environment where infrustructure and software becomes a solved problem altogether. Then we start considering if AI can replace all engineering altogether in many fields. All of commerical writing and commercial creative arts are mostly taken over. Occasionally a brilliant human example moved things in a different direction, but this is quickly fed to the incumbent AIs and then it becomes commercialised. What happens now? Everyone moves into hardware work?

mewpmewp2 2y ago
I think before people would actually be "replaced", the productivity boost might actually cause more work since all of sudden, the development costs go lower which means that new things that were too expensive previously, which there are tons of suddenly become low hanging fruits. I think it's hard to predict what happens after that though. > One thought -How are juniors turned into seniors? Lets say that we solve that with some yet to be invented educational solution, and then companies that arent code heavy would hire them for much less money or something like that. In theory there are already many occupations like medicine where you have to study for years before you can do actual work, but coding wise it will still be easier, since people who do it as hobby will do it as hobby and become good enough on their own.

by bloqs 2y ago

mewpmewp2 2y ago

I think before people would actually be "replaced", the productivity boost might actually cause more work since all of sudden, the development costs go lower which means that new things that were too expensive previously, which there are tons of suddenly become low hanging fruits. I think it's hard to predict what happens after that though. > One thought -How are juniors turned into seniors? Lets say that we solve that with some yet to be invented educational solution, and then companies that arent code heavy would hire them for much less money or something like that. In theory there are already many occupations like medicine where you have to study for years before you can do actual work, but coding wise it will still be easier, since people who do it as hobby will do it as hobby and become good enough on their own.