4 ms·
For another point of view, see: "Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data" - https://www.science.o
by bikenaga 2y ago
For another point of view, see: "Uncertainties too large to predict tipping times of major Earth system components from historical data" - https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adl4841 https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adl4841
Their primary example is the AMOC.
- stubish 2y agoIs it really a different point of view? You have one paper estimating a time period and probabilities. And another paper stating that these estimates are inaccurate, and the best we can do without working out ways of doing the calculations that don't rely on historical record.