It's not exactly throwing your hat over the wall to make a bold statement and then paywall the justification. His "boba fides" are "I did something 12 years ago

It's not exactly throwing your hat over the wall to make a bold statement and then paywall the justification. His "boba fides" are "I did something 12 years ago, also my other predictions weren't wrong". I like a positive track records but "not being wrong" isn't the same as being a true prognosticator.