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Can't read the article, but... yeah I think most people looking at this with any amount of logic realizes that. I feel like we are in a very rude awakening for

Can't read the article, but... yeah I think most people looking at this with any amount of logic realizes that. I feel like we are in a very rude awakening for a crash very soon, we have already seen multiple AI products come out and fail horribly. In my view there are 4 possible outcomes: - It is not overhyped but we realize that the current pace of things is un-sustainable for a variety of reasons and investment is decreased. - It is mildly overhyped but we realize that the vast majority of what these startups are doing can be done by Google, Microsoft, or Apple with just a minor change to their system prompt. And its moved to on device processing threatening Nvidia. - It is seriously overhyped, beyond AI startups failing we have a major issue like someone dieing or some other major scandal caused by AI doing something and no human verified it. We go back to recognizing what the technology actually is and what its limitations are. - We hit a wall with the current implementation and it does a decent job at things, but progress just stalls and hype dies down. I just don't see a positive outcome given the many issues that have come up and it being shoved into places as a source of authority and time and time again, it fails. Edit: Thank you for the archive. Yeah that aligns.

claytongulick 2y ago
There's the additional dimension to all this: cost. Regardless of hype or utility, these things are ridiculously expensive to run at any sort of scale.
- nerdjon 2y ago
  > Regardless of hype or utility, these things are ridiculously expensive to run at any sort of scale. I probably should have been more clear, that is what I was referring to it being unsustainable. Cost, Energy use, Environmental impact, etc. All the things that are coming out recently about the "hidden cost" of AI.
- HDThoreaun 2y ago
  Costs go down quickly. Intels new CPUs releasing end of year have an iGPU equivalent to a 3060 and the entire chip has a tdp of 30 watts. Another 5-10 years and the same will probably be true of todays top of line gpus.

claytongulick 2y ago

There's the additional dimension to all this: cost. Regardless of hype or utility, these things are ridiculously expensive to run at any sort of scale.

nerdjon 2y ago
> Regardless of hype or utility, these things are ridiculously expensive to run at any sort of scale. I probably should have been more clear, that is what I was referring to it being unsustainable. Cost, Energy use, Environmental impact, etc. All the things that are coming out recently about the "hidden cost" of AI.
HDThoreaun 2y ago
Costs go down quickly. Intels new CPUs releasing end of year have an iGPU equivalent to a 3060 and the entire chip has a tdp of 30 watts. Another 5-10 years and the same will probably be true of todays top of line gpus.