Reminds me of discussion I remember seeing on HN about how all the oil companies have a dozen or two guys who can just read the assignment for few hours and poi

Reminds me of discussion I remember seeing on HN about how all the oil companies have a dozen or two guys who can just read the assignment for few hours and point out on map where the next drilling should be, and their predictions are almost always right; way better than any of their computer models and teams of analysts. These guys usually are in this field for more than 35-40 years and have gained a sense of "Unconscious Competence" that this article suggests