4 ms·
There's also an interesting dynamic: costs scale exponentially (in a handwavey way) with quality. If you're willing to stay a half generation behind, you can cr
by scarmig 2y ago
There's also an interesting dynamic: costs scale exponentially (in a handwavey way) with quality. If you're willing to stay a half generation behind, you can create models a whole lot cheaper than the frontier labs. So Meta can always put significant price pressure on Google/OAI/Anthropic for relatively cheap.
The only way I see AI making anyone trillions is if someone cracks the nut of true AGI and somehow manages to keep it under wraps.
- xracy 2y agoHere's a question... Does AGI actually change anything about how any of these companies make money? What makes someone trillions of dollars from AGI?
- _boffin_ 2y ago> What makes someone trillions of dollars from AGI? solving many million dollar problems.
- xracy 2y agoI don't think this question is as obvious as everyone else clearly thinks it is. But like here's the progression: 1. How does AI currently make money? (the answer is it doesn't, but like what's the world we think exists where a chat bot is monetizeable?) 2. What does AGI need to look like where it can actually solve many million dollar problems? 3. What million dollar problems does it solve? If the answers to this are as easy as they sound, then the responses to this should be easy to churn out, but instead everyone has shortcut that AGI == $$$, without showing the logic path. a response could look like: AGI solves P != NP -> $1M AGI solves customer service -> $100B AGI solves ??? -> $1B I'm making up ideas and numbers here, but this doesn't seem like that weird of an assumption to test given how everyone on here just takes it as gospel.