14 ms·

If temps do not stabilize by 8/2024, world in uncharted territory

19 points by westcort 2y ago

westcort 2y ago
I was directed to this article by this interview with Dr. Stephanie Roe, World Wildlife Foundation global climate and energy lead scientist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lkqRjB6sfxs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lkqRjB6sfxs The linked editorial was written by Dr. Gavin Schmidt, a climatologist and director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City. He writes, in part: "If the anomaly does not stabilize by August [2024] — a reasonable expectation based on previous El Niño events — then the world will be in uncharted territory. It could imply that a warming planet is already fundamentally altering how the climate system operates, much sooner than scientists had anticipated."
Andaith 2y ago
0.2c is an absolutely terrifying increase given the short timeframe. My first thought was the shipping/sulfur regulations but they mention that(and that while there isn't enough data yet, it shouldn't be able to have this impact). My next guess is the whole ocean-as-a-heat-sink thing. The idea that there has been significantly more energy being input into the system than realized but the ocean has been absorbing a lot more of it than we previously knew about, and now it can't any more. It ties in with the unexpected water temps around florida and the unusually high temps around Antarctica, but it's just a random guess from a random guy.
complaintdept 2y ago
Clathrate Gun territory? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis Somewhat related, I saw a Netflix documentary (can't remember the name of it) a few years back about these researchers in the Bahamas studying blue holes. Some of their findings indicate that every worldwide coral bleaching event in history was followed shortly after with a mass extinction.
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xlii 2y ago
This is an interesting read, but in my opinion editorialized title doesn’t help it.
- defrost 2y ago
  The headline is|was clunky enough to require something, the saving grace here is that the HN headline (as of now) isn't something whipped up by the submitter but a paraphrasing of an actual quote from the article's author. If you prefer (breaking the HN title length): If the anomaly does not stabilize by August — a reasonable expectation based on previous El Niño events — then the world will be in uncharted territory. ~ Gavin Schmidt, Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, March 2024
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19 points by westcort 2y ago

I was directed to this article by this interview with Dr. Stephanie Roe, World Wildlife Foundation global climate and energy lead scientist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lkqRjB6sfxs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lkqRjB6sfxs The linked editorial was written by Dr. Gavin Schmidt, a climatologist and director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City. He writes, in part: "If the anomaly does not stabilize by August [2024] — a reasonable expectation based on previous El Niño events — then the world will be in uncharted territory. It could imply that a warming planet is already fundamentally altering how the climate system operates, much sooner than scientists had anticipated."

Andaith 2y ago

0.2c is an absolutely terrifying increase given the short timeframe. My first thought was the shipping/sulfur regulations but they mention that(and that while there isn't enough data yet, it shouldn't be able to have this impact). My next guess is the whole ocean-as-a-heat-sink thing. The idea that there has been significantly more energy being input into the system than realized but the ocean has been absorbing a lot more of it than we previously knew about, and now it can't any more. It ties in with the unexpected water temps around florida and the unusually high temps around Antarctica, but it's just a random guess from a random guy.

complaintdept 2y ago

Clathrate Gun territory? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clathrate_gun_hypothesis Somewhat related, I saw a Netflix documentary (can't remember the name of it) a few years back about these researchers in the Bahamas studying blue holes. Some of their findings indicate that every worldwide coral bleaching event in history was followed shortly after with a mass extinction.

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xlii 2y ago

This is an interesting read, but in my opinion editorialized title doesn’t help it.

defrost 2y ago
The headline is|was clunky enough to require something, the saving grace here is that the HN headline (as of now) isn't something whipped up by the submitter but a paraphrasing of an actual quote from the article's author. If you prefer (breaking the HN title length): If the anomaly does not stabilize by August — a reasonable expectation based on previous El Niño events — then the world will be in uncharted territory. ~ Gavin Schmidt, Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, March 2024
deleted 2y ago
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