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The cover of Bayesian Data Analysis 3 shows that empirically, birthdays are not uniformly distributed. The fall has 10-20% more births than other months, and ho
by mxwsn 2y ago
The cover of Bayesian Data Analysis 3 shows that empirically, birthdays are not uniformly distributed. The fall has 10-20% more births than other months, and holidays are significantly underrepresented.
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/OZtu7ACWp4X283a4e5PgnmXyj4n6c9PsR_l3-Vd9ipFF4CoM9yiBZAwbFS9ZyNxxc_gZLihMZ-_n58Sw6W6NHGulybwBdHsu9S8 https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/OZtu7ACWp4X283a4e5Pg...
- madrox 2y agoWas going to mention this myself. The nuance of this problem is fascinating! Always check your assumptions on the underlying distributions.
- bobbylarrybobby 2y agoDo hospitals try to move baby’s born near midnight on a holiday to the previous or next day?
- mxwsn 2y agoI think so. Parents can also make it happen at their convenience by asking doctors. We have technology to induce birth or control its timing over a few days