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>Among the 65-and-older group, who receive social security, non-whites represent 1/3, then 1/4, then 1/5 as you ascend by decade. What is the base-rate here th

• ttyprintk 2y ago
  It's pretty straightforward who qualifies in 2024 for the basic income guaranteed by social security.[0] 76% of recipients are white, compared to 60% of the population. [1] I assume someone who's collected social security for 15 years has a 80% chance of being white [2], but it's probably higher because I don't know the rates non-white seniors qualify for social security. I think that's what you're getting at. Social security will remain solvent until 2034, which is the first year Gen-X will start retiring. The age bracket for people who are now 48 is closest to 50/50 white. When they retire, in 2041, the entire nation will coincidentally pass 50/50. I think those stats are enough for the GOP to abandon social security in the long term. [0] The Social Security Administration https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/projections/populations.html#tableBeneficiaries2024 https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/projections/populations.html... [1] Pew https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/07/30/most-common-age-among-us-racial-ethnic-groups/ https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/07/30/most-comm... [2] The Atlantic, 2018 https://archive.ph/EZ3ds https://archive.ph/EZ3ds