3 ms·
One of Waymo’s co-CEOs went over the estimates in a recent podcast: Vehicle lifetime: 400,000 miles Upper bound vehicle cost: $100,000 (though I expect Zeekr
by ra7 2y ago
One of Waymo’s co-CEOs went over the estimates in a recent podcast:
Vehicle lifetime: 400,000 miles
Upper bound vehicle cost: $100,000 (though I expect Zeekr to manufacture it for way less)
Cost: $0.25 per mile
There’s room for margin compared to Uber since they can take advantage of economies of scale (high utilization, centralized operations/maintenance and so on).
- roughly 2y agoIf that’s just lifetime/cost, that’s not covering energy or repairs.
- RivieraKid 2y agoI tried to calculate this a few months ago and the result was $0.7 with room for improvement over time. I had $0.25/mi for vehicles, 0.14 for labor costs (remote and road-side assistance, charging, cleaning, management, etc.), 0.05 electricity, 0.05 for buildings and parking lots, 0.025 vehicle maintenance and insurance. That's 0.52 in total. Assuming 75% miles are paid, the cost per paid mile is $0.7. I can imagine significant economies of scale, e.g. 20% cost reduction for each doubling of deployment, so maybe $0.1 after a few decades?