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I would be surprised in 20 years if nobody is making rockets similar to Space X. For OS - which is software, more similar to EV - Linux devs are able to make a
by huntertwo 2y ago
I would be surprised in 20 years if nobody is making rockets similar to Space X.
For OS - which is software, more similar to EV - Linux devs are able to make a much better OS than Windows, commercial success on the consumer front be damned. OS is pretty much commoditized but everybody uses Windows for enterprise because of vendor lock in, not because it’s hard to make an OS. Arguably, windows is the worst of the three popular OS’s despite having the largest commercial success.
OpenAI was able to make great GPT models and everybody else followed suit pretty quickly.
I think bleeding edge tech with larger moats takes longer than bleeding edge tech with smaller moats. The moat for self driving is low enough that there are many companies pursuing it with only VC funding. Compared to self landing rockets, which is being pursued by two companies backed by the richest men on earth.
- Veserv 2y agoThe argument you are making here is that somebody else will figure it out. However, the argument you made before depends on that any arbitrary entity will figure it out with time and money. Those are categorically different. If, in the first place, you actually meant that somebody else will figure it out, then it is logically unsound to argue that a arbitrarily chosen entity, Tesla in this case, is a shoe-in to figure it out as well. You need to present actual arguments for why they in particular will be a somebody. If you actually thought the argument you presented initially was logically sound, then you meant everybody and the arguments you have just made are irrelevant as they only argue “there exists”, not “for all” which is what your initial argument rested on. tl;dr You are mixing up “there exists” and “for all”.