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Forbes says “ultra-rich have an average of 2.3 children, above the recent 1.93 average for average Americans” https://www.forbes.com/sites/jenaebarnes/2022/07/

Forbes says “ultra-rich have an average of 2.3 children, above the recent 1.93 average for average Americans” https://www.forbes.com/sites/jenaebarnes/2022/07/10/elon-musk-isnt-the-only-billionaire-with-9-plus-kids-meet-the-us-richest-people-with-the-most-children https://www.forbes.com/sites/jenaebarnes/2022/07/10/elon-mus...

RestlessMind 2y ago
I am going by this data: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_fertility_rate#Country_ranking_by_most_recent_year https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_fer... Countries with the highest TFR are also generally the poor ones.
- lotsofpulp 2y ago
  The relevant dynamics change between an average American woman versus a top 10% American woman compared to any American versus an average woman in a poorer country. Specifically, women's rights, financial independence, and general safety if choosing to forego having many children or even entering into a relationship. The women in the poorest countries are having more kids due to not being able to have fewer kids. Average American women have fewer kids than top 10% Americans due to wanting more resources per child.
  - RestlessMind 2y ago
    > The women in the poorest countries are having more kids due to not being able to have fewer kids. Citation needed for that claim. While I don't necessarily disagree with you, I have also seen other plausible hypothesis that kids are seen as safety nets in the poorer society, or a possible escape hatch out of poverty even if one of them gets lucky in life. So having more kids might be a rational choice for poor people. I do not have data either way about motivations for women in poor societies to have kids.
    - lotsofpulp 2y ago
      My claim is based on my personal experience of seeing what women have to go through and risk to bring a child into this world, and total fertility rate dropping to less than slightly above 2 at best in every single country where women achieve education and civil rights, indicating they obtain the ability to say no to sex in situations where they can get pregnant, and/or they obtain the ability to prevent or abort pregnancies. https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate All the countries with high total fertility rates have environments where women would not expect quality healthcare or medical interventions should things go wrong. It stands to reason that women are not making a conscious decision to put their quality of life and life itself at risk over and over again to birth human resources. Outside of outlier cult-ish groups, I see almost no women choosing to have more than 3 children. And the data seems to agree. Everyone I know that had a 3rd child, they had 2 boys or 2 girls first and only had a 3rd to try for the other gender. So I am deducing that the painful experience of pregnancy/childbirth/breastfeeding/infant rearing is a significant limiting factor.

RestlessMind 2y ago

I am going by this data: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_fertility_rate#Country_ranking_by_most_recent_year https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_fer... Countries with the highest TFR are also generally the poor ones.

lotsofpulp 2y ago
The relevant dynamics change between an average American woman versus a top 10% American woman compared to any American versus an average woman in a poorer country. Specifically, women's rights, financial independence, and general safety if choosing to forego having many children or even entering into a relationship. The women in the poorest countries are having more kids due to not being able to have fewer kids. Average American women have fewer kids than top 10% Americans due to wanting more resources per child.
- RestlessMind 2y ago
  > The women in the poorest countries are having more kids due to not being able to have fewer kids. Citation needed for that claim. While I don't necessarily disagree with you, I have also seen other plausible hypothesis that kids are seen as safety nets in the poorer society, or a possible escape hatch out of poverty even if one of them gets lucky in life. So having more kids might be a rational choice for poor people. I do not have data either way about motivations for women in poor societies to have kids.
  - lotsofpulp 2y ago
    My claim is based on my personal experience of seeing what women have to go through and risk to bring a child into this world, and total fertility rate dropping to less than slightly above 2 at best in every single country where women achieve education and civil rights, indicating they obtain the ability to say no to sex in situations where they can get pregnant, and/or they obtain the ability to prevent or abort pregnancies. https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate All the countries with high total fertility rates have environments where women would not expect quality healthcare or medical interventions should things go wrong. It stands to reason that women are not making a conscious decision to put their quality of life and life itself at risk over and over again to birth human resources. Outside of outlier cult-ish groups, I see almost no women choosing to have more than 3 children. And the data seems to agree. Everyone I know that had a 3rd child, they had 2 boys or 2 girls first and only had a 3rd to try for the other gender. So I am deducing that the painful experience of pregnancy/childbirth/breastfeeding/infant rearing is a significant limiting factor.