3 ms·
It isn't clear to me why we should weigh fundamentals less in relation to polling on the basis that it has a higher variation at this point of time in the cycle
by bitshiftfaced 2y ago
It isn't clear to me why we should weigh fundamentals less in relation to polling on the basis that it has a higher variation at this point of time in the cycle. Couldn't it be that it has higher uncertainty and it's more accurate (in terms of expectation) x days before the election, compared to polling?