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This is something I’ve been trying to find a way to account for in my fantasy drafting the last few years, after trying to maximize expected value has not gotte
by lumb63 2y ago
This is something I’ve been trying to find a way to account for in my fantasy drafting the last few years, after trying to maximize expected value has not gotten me the desired results (probably also due in part to the delta between expected and actual value). It’s occurred to me that a “boom or bust” lineup that scores +2 st dev one week and -2 the next is way better than one that performs +1 every week (hand waving exact values).
- jncfhnb 2y agoBuild a correlation matrix between player positions and teams. Add a constraint the forbids the solution from having negative correlations below X. The way you would want to test it is take the top 500 solutions from each approach and see how many of them are winners under whatever framework you care about.