IIRC, the most serious skeptic who believes that real quantum computers are never going to be realized because of the noise wall is Gil Kalai. Look into his wri

IIRC, the most serious skeptic who believes that real quantum computers are never going to be realized because of the noise wall is Gil Kalai. Look into his writings, or Scott Aaronson's arguments with him, or whatever. I am a lot less optimistic about QC than I was 15 years ago before I really started learning about this stuff, but I'm not willing to completely rule it out. Do I think there's a plausible roadmap to a general-purpose implementation of Shor's algorithm at a scale that can break RSA-2048? Not any time in the next 30 years. But sometimes progress takes great leaps forward after many years of stagnation, so I'm still a bit hopeful.