2 ms·
What is notable here to me is how in computing we used to expect 2x improvement every 18-24 months, so for 20 years that would have meant 1000-10000x improvemen
by zokier 2y ago
What is notable here to me is how in computing we used to expect 2x improvement every 18-24 months, so for 20 years that would have meant 1000-10000x improvement. Yet almost all the increases are <1000x here.
- lioeters 2y agoIt's probably the software stack consuming more and more of the available hardware capacity. I seem to remember there's a "law", like software expands until it consumes all available capacity.. Ah here it is, Niklaus Wirth in "A Plea for Lean Software" (1995). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wirth's_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wirth's_law > Wirth's law is an adage on computer performance which states that software is getting slower more rapidly than hardware is becoming faster. > Martin Reiser, who in the preface to his book on the Oberon System wrote: "The hope is that the progress in hardware will cure all software ills. However, a critical observer may observe that software manages to outgrow hardware in size and sluggishness." > "What Intel giveth, Microsoft taketh away" > "Software efficiency halves every 18 months, compensating Moore's law"