But how can we actually quantify the accuracy of said predictions? Each release of an LLM is largely a black box. We don't know exactly how they work, what the

But how can we actually quantify the accuracy of said predictions? Each release of an LLM is largely a black box. We don't know exactly how they work, what they learned, why they learned it, or what their limitations are. How exactly does that help us predict what could exist in a decade or two? And how do we align that predictive ability with the fact that so many people working in the industry would not have been able to predict where we are today a decade or two in the past?