So, probably - after the Starship will start robustly flying - in a couple of years? - the competition will look like a number of government-directed programs.

So, probably - after the Starship will start robustly flying - in a couple of years? - the competition will look like a number of government-directed programs. In such programs the government pays for a national launcher - it's a case for pretty much everybody, like USA (alternative launchers), Europe, China, Russia, India, Israel (and of course countries like Iran and North Korea)... Alternatively there could be a similarly effective technological solution, a Starship alternative - which might come from China or USA. To get to similar economical numbers per launch it will take some billions of USD and a high single digit number of years in development. For now it seems the SpaceX is in the game of their own, and going to stay there probably this decade - and maybe even longer. They are going to dominate the world launch industry, and the world payload industry are going to adjust to the capabilities and availability of the Starship. With Falcon-9, when the first stage reusability became the norm, and payload was welcome, and the external - outside the SpaceX demand was slow, SpaceX answered with their own Starlink program. Starlink demand allowed Falcons to fly frequently, maintaining low costs of launches, while offering cheap delivery of hundreds of satellites to the biggest LEO orbital system. Starlink benefited greatly from this launch capability, and now is turning a profit. Similarly, when Starships will routinely fly, the question will be, what they are going to carry? And, unless enough interest is demonstrated outside of SpaceX - manned space flights, for various reasons? scientific missions? space manufacture (proteins, chips?) or industry (orbital solar energy?) flights? - SpaceX could invent it's own customer, which is capable of consuming a lot of potential the Starship offers. Like, for example, lunar base construction, which Elon Musk mentions sometimes - that one can both use a lot of Starships and offer some interesting commercial opportunities...