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VR is a zombie category like flying cars that rears its head every 10 years or so. If there were anything to it, it would already be a thing. Instead, it is mos
by hi-v-rocknroll 2y ago
VR is a zombie category like flying cars that rears its head every 10 years or so. If there were anything to it, it would already be a thing. Instead, it is mostly a comical MacGuffin of 80's and 90's sci-fi movies and sells a few widgets now and then like Meta Quest. Anyone remember VRML? Or Sega's canceled Sega VR?
AR, OTOH, has immense, untapped potential to be ubiquitous and helpful albeit to a potentially intrusive degree if privacy isn't managed properly. The ambient, contextual-, and location-dependent helpfulness achievable of AR creates undeniable advantages.
AI code tools cannot create much usefully-intricate, specific, or reliably correct at this point. It's helpful for completing predictable sequences like advanced code completion, but that's about the limit of it's utility right now. At this moment, wisdom and experience of good engineers cannot be substituted to create custom, reliable solutions, but this may gradually change at some point.
Narrow AI will need to be progressively and iteratively tuned to make it more useful for specific point solutions, but there is almost zero hope of AGI ever being realized, much less a SkyNet or Johnny Number 5 scenario, without absurd computing infrastructure and ongoing electricity costs.
- HeatrayEnjoyer 2y ago>there is almost zero hope of AGI ever being realized, much less a SkyNet or Johnny Number 5 scenario, without absurd computing infrastructure and ongoing electricity costs. Microsoft is constructing a mammoth data center at an inflation-adjusted cost comparable to the Apollo Program. We already know AGI is possible with 20 watts. It's only a matter of time before it is created on another medium.
- hi-v-rocknroll 2y agoDoesn't matter. Meta and Microsoft are both doing stupid corporate shit. It's a total waste of resources and entropy. It's the equivalent of a nerd pissing contest. AGI doesn't apply to biological systems because it's not artificial by definition. You're falling into their fallacy that simulating neurons is going to be efficient in another form. Science has thus far shown it's very expensive and difficult when a neuron would be the simplest and best solution.
- HeatrayEnjoyer 2y agoArtificial or not is immaterial. The intelligence is real. You don't think there are better mediums than fatty tissue and proteins? Human brains are anything but optional
- rsynnott 2y agoI mean, "Microsoft is spending a lot of money on a thing" is not, historically, anything close to a guarantee that the thing will come to pass. Nearly all of their megaprojects after Windows NT in the 90s have, essentially, failed; I think the only counterexamples would be Xbox and Azure (maybe Surface and Bing, if you want to be _very_ charitable in your definition of success).
- 999900000999 2y agoThe Quest 2 and 3 are at the price point where normal people will buy it. Imagine once they get it down to half the weight. The headsets are already pretty popular. >AI code tools cannot create much usefully-intricate, specific, or reliably correct at this point. It's helpful for completing predictable sequences like advanced code completion, but that's about the limit of it's utility right now. The same can be said for junior engineers. Would you rather pay 20$ a month for AI tools your senior engineers can use, or 110k for a junior engineer? I think people are underestimating how many jobs will be replaced by AI.