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> predicting individual votes Isn't that around the top of the statistics no-nos list? Probability theory in general? Predicting individual result based on the
by mihaaly 2y ago
> predicting individual votes
Isn't that around the top of the statistics no-nos list? Probability theory in general? Predicting individual result based on the whole sample base? It was long ago and I am not in this field at all but my recollection tells me that it was mentioned in the beginning of the first class of probability theory 101.
- lupire 2y agoNo, it's the opposite. The sample space measurement gives you the probability of an individual selected item. This is the fundamental reason why probabily works. But it requires uniform sampling.