3 ms·
Very true! From where I sit, most of the hype cycles were overestimated in the short term & underestimated in the long term: world wide web, mobile, big data,
by beambot 2y ago
Very true! From where I sit, most of the hype cycles were overestimated in the short term & underestimated in the long term: world wide web, mobile, big data, autonomous cars, AI, quantum, biotech, fintech, clean tech, space and even crypto.
- c-cube 2y agoIt's a bit weird to claim that "quantum", autonomous cars, and crypto are "underestimated". If anything they've been overhyped and totally failed to deliver actual value.
- beambot 2y agoUnderestimated in the long term. It's become clear that the time constant for deep-tech innovation & adoption doesn't match the classic VC-backed SaaS adoption curve. We're nearing general quantum supremacy for practical jobs within the next 5 years. Autonomous cars are now rolling out in select geographies without safety drivers. And crypto is literally being pushed as an alternative for SWIFT among the BRICS, IMF, and BIS as a multi-national CBDC via the mBridge program.