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I fully expect in somewhere around 3-6 months the dam will burst and we're going to start hearing more and more about all the teams out there that are pouring t
by jerf 2y ago
I fully expect in somewhere around 3-6 months the dam will burst and we're going to start hearing more and more about all the teams out there that are pouring tens of millions of dollars into AI and all they have to show for it is a worse version of whatever it is they were doing.
To placate the AI fans, that's not because AI isn't interesting, it's because that's how these hype cycles always go. I remember when everything had to be XML'd. XML has its uses, but a lot of money was wasted jamming it everywhere because XML Was Cool. AI has its uses, but it is still an engineering tool; it has a grain, it has things it is good at, it has things it can't just wave a magic wand and improve, the demarcation between those two things is very, very complicated, and people are being actively discouraged from thinking about those lines right now.
But there really isn't any skipping the Trough of Disillusionment on your way to the Plateau of Productivity.