3 ms·
Hindsight fallacy here, though the author sort of acknowledges the issue: > "Imagine the thousands of tasks you did in the past year and sort them by impact. H
by photochemsyn 2y ago
Hindsight fallacy here, though the author sort of acknowledges the issue:
> "Imagine the thousands of tasks you did in the past year and sort them by impact. How many of them actually moved the needle?"
If you instead try to predict the impact factor or long-term result of a given task/activity in advance, how good would your predictions be?
> "However, I’m convinced that you can create an environment where 10x work is more likely to come up."
This sounds like the gambler's fallacy of retrospective determinism, which involves looking at historical data and seeing patterns, leading to the erroneous conclusion that these patterns dictate future outcomes. It ignores the inherent randomness and independence of certain events.
The argument for daily routines is that they keep you involved and engaged, so that if an opportunity does randomly arise, you're ready to run with it.