I know the exercise was to p-hack, but instead I decided to one-shot my attempt at the most reasonable model from first principals: - given that we are looking

I know the exercise was to p-hack, but instead I decided to one-shot my attempt at the most reasonable model from first principals: - given that we are looking at a national scale, use only national politicians - use the components from Macroeconomics 101: exclude inflation as that’s on the Fed, exclude stocks as too conflated with FX and international investing alternatives - don’t needlessly withhold data Tried one hypothesis, so p-value of 0.04 is accurate. Still OK to explore if you Bonferroni correct the p-Val afterwards