> Duplicating portions of human intelligence has tremendous practical use in every facet of society. The tech just needs to get there. That last part is the on

> Duplicating portions of human intelligence has tremendous practical use in every facet of society. The tech just needs to get there. That last part is the only part that skeptics are skeptical of. GPT-4 is amazing in a lot of ways and shouldn't be discounted, but the grandest predictions of AI's impact depend on the exponential growth we saw in 2022-2023 continuing. What we've seen this year (GPT-4o, increasing cries from the established players for governments to build them a moat) suggests that that's not happening. We seem to have hit a cap on capabilities and have started just making it smaller and faster. This is great and will be useful, but GPT-4-level tech isn't going to revolutionize everything the way that the hype suggests. We need something more.