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These were loans - albeit on very easy terms, I agree. The difference between a government bailout (which the Treasury did, in fact) and a Fed's "lender-of-last
by photon137 14y ago
These were loans - albeit on very easy terms, I agree. The difference between a government bailout (which the Treasury did, in fact) and a Fed's "lender-of-last-resort" loan is crucial.
The former involves recapitalization of the bank with an equity stake transfer to the Treasury while the latter is just a credit/repo line which allows for potentially "bad" or illiquid assets to be pledged as collateral for a loan.
Again, this is a credit-risk transfer to the Fed rather than a bailout. Exactly in the same way as the banks took on credit-risk by lending to people with poor credit histories (although the intentions of the lenders were totally different in this case - greed being the dominant factor).
- damoncali 14y agoThat is a distinction without a difference.
- photon137 14y agoI agree - I didn't explain this very well. The former utilizes taxpayer money, the latter doesn't. The first is an all-out investment, the second, a loan. Also, the portion of the cash that is not used by the bank is usually deposited back at the Fed in the bank's excess reserve account (on which the Fed has now begun paying a small interest - in order to avoid capital destruction). The portion that is used forms part of the liquidity injected into the overall system - which is the Fed's original intention anyway. The Fed has a mandate to ensure financial stability by providing such a loan facility (why it didn't do so for Lehman - and whether it neglected its duty - is still a very controversial topic) - so I wouldn't consider a statutory duty to be a discretionary bailout.
- damoncali 14y agoI wouldn't consider a statutory duty to be a discretionary bailout. Perhaps. But when you leverage 100 to 1, fail, and the feds swoop in to avert disaster (the jury, of course, is still out on this), it's hard to say that it's just a normal day at the office. They spent/created huge amounts of capital that was necessary only because of the excessive (and stupid, even at the time) leverage of the financial industry. Now don't get me wrong. I have a strong suspicion that Paulson is the most under-appreciated man in the world right now, literally. But we are all paying for an unnecessary excess, to keep failed institutions alive (save for poor Lehman. If it were only so easy as to just let them all fail). So I think the word "bailout" is apt.
- photon137 14y agoOf course - what the banks did back then was plain and simple wrong. Even what they're doing now (dabbling in structured credit products like JP Morgan's ~ $3B loss) is stupid. Plus they're getting cheap cash from the Fed to finance their activities. The trouble is - the economy needs liquidity at the consumer level and it's the banks who should provide that. If the Fed had the authority to knock on everyone's door and lend them money at 0-0.25%, it would do that. But sadly, the political class never creates regulations which force the banks to pass on the liquidity provided by the Fed - after all, that would leave the banks with less profits and lesser money still to donate to political campaigns. As far as your comment on "let them all fail" - I disagree. For all the undeserved liquidity that the banks are currently enjoying, it is a far more benign evil than having all the banks fail - US Inc would probably still be firing 200,000 people every month instead of adding 100,000 (as it is doing now).
- damoncali 14y agoObviously, you can't let them all fail, but if you don't let significant banks go under, how do you address the systematic moral hazard that encourages this behavior? It's a big problem, that, if anything, is worse now than it was in 2008.
- btilly 14y agoSplit the banks up. One bank that is too large to fail can become 5 banks that individually can fail. Unfortunately we've gone the other way.
- lmm 14y ago>I agree - I didn't explain this very well. The former utilizes taxpayer money, the latter doesn't. The first is an all-out investment, the second, a loan. The Fed's loans are backed by taxpayer money, right? (Or by its ability to print money, which is a stealth tax on everyone who holds dollars). Put it another way, it's giving these companies for free something (a loan on generous terms) that would be worth quite a bit on the open market, and that belongs to us. >The Fed has a mandate to ensure financial stability by providing such a loan facility (why it didn't do so for Lehman - and whether it neglected its duty - is still a very controversial topic) - so I wouldn't consider a statutory duty to be a discretionary bailout. That sounds to me like there is a statutory requirement for the Fed to perform bailouts under certain circumstances. It doesn't make them any less of a bailout.
- photon137 14y agoNo - Fed loans are not backed by taxpayer money - they are backed by the faith in Fed to replace those dollars with assets of equivalent value. And no, it's not a stealth tax on anyone who holds dollars. The popular view is that ok, the supply of dollars has gone up and hence the money I hold is worth less. But remember, all the MBSes in the pre-crisis market, they were liquid instruments being used as money by the industry. Suddenly that pool dries up. The Fed's job then was to keep that pool constant (the M0, M1, M2 and M3 supplies go up - but then MBSes and commercial paper are not included in any of those measures). It's not a bailout in the manner of a Treasury bailout of Freddie Mac/Fannie Mae. First of all, it's not your (ie the taxpayer's) money to begin with. You have no right to be concerned about money that doesn't belong to you. Secondly, say I "bailed" out a company by taking an equity stake and the Fed loaned the same company some money. If the company goes bankrupt - I should have zero expectations of recovering my money. The Fed, on the other hand, would have first dibs on the recovery value of the assets.
- lmm 14y ago>But remember, all the MBSes in the pre-crisis market, they were liquid instruments being used as money by the industry. Suddenly that pool dries up. The Fed's job then was to keep that pool constant (the M0, M1, M2 and M3 supplies go up - but then MBSes and commercial paper are not included in any of those measures). So it's OK for the fed to devalue my dollars because other market events have increased the value of my dollars? If I chose to hold dollars rather than the MBSes that other people were treating as dollar-equivalent, and the value of MBSes goes down, I've earned that increase in value. Imagine I'd bought shares in a company, and then shares in that company become scarce due to market events (maybe there's a takeover bid) - I'd have every right to be pissed if that company then issued more shares to someone else, to keep the supply constant. If the feds bust someone with 6 million counterfeit dollars, do they then immediately print 6 million real dollars to keep the money supply constant? That sounds like what you're advocating.