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> It's a simple calculus. It's wrong. But it's certainly very simple :) You forgot about how an invasion force is supposed to swim across the baltic. After a
by guappa 2y ago
> It's a simple calculus.
It's wrong. But it's certainly very simple :)
You forgot about how an invasion force is supposed to swim across the baltic.
After all, Russia can't move a huge fleet in there, because access is between sweden and denmark. So they'd have to use whatever they already have in there.
And sea invasions are more complicated than land invasions.
- mopsi 2y agoSwim, sea invasion, huge fleet - why? It's the Swedes who would need to do swimming after Russians airdropped VDV onto Gotland in a surprise attack like they did in Hostomel, secured Visby airport, and started landing heavy equipment with Il-76 transports. Russian operation at securing Hostomel airport outside of Kyiv failed because the nearby Ukrainian forces immediately counterattacked. Until recently, Sweden had no military presence on Gotland and the island was entirely undefended. The only wrong thing here is the idea that the invasion of Gotland would have to look like Normandy landings.