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Let's see. Putin doesn't have enough ammunition. He doesn't have enough tanks. He doesn't have enough troops. So he's importing ammunition, importing troop

Let's see. Putin doesn't have enough ammunition. He doesn't have enough tanks. He doesn't have enough troops. So he's importing ammunition, importing troops, and pulling tanks from the 1970s out of storage. He could impose a conscription, but he hasn't. I suspect he can't - not without causing pushback. And he doesn't want that, because once the pushback starts, it may not stop... So I think Putin is maxed out. This may not be as much as he can get out of Russia, but it's as much as he dares.

deleted 2y ago
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bugmenot43 2y ago
He doesn't need to formally impose a conscription when military commisariats can effectively kidnap people and the propaganda can silence anyone who complains. What happens often is that they send notices, "Please arrive at the military commisariat building for the update of your personal data." Then, when the person arrives, "please sign here, or you will not be able to leave," on a notice to undergo a medical checkup by military medics. The medics ignore diseases and say "you are ready to serve" even when documents from state-funded hospitals are presented, proving the opposite. My own story: I live in the Philippines since March 7, 2022. According to Russian laws, just before 6 months of staying abroad, or before the planned trip that is expected to take more than 6 months, one must submit documents that prove that, and therefore, according to the Russian constitution, that one must not be counted for the purpose of recruiting into the army. I asked the local government officers for a certificate of residence and got it, albeit not confirming the initial period of my stay; they could only confirm the period since May 9, 2022 with their records. I also had a stamp in my passport confirming the date when I left. I submitted scans of both documents through the government portal, only to get, effectively, this in response: "According to our records, you are still in Russia. If this is not true, please come to the military commissariat closest to your registered address in Russia and submit documents in person. You have two days to do that." I didn't go there; therefore, my request was declined in the end, and they still claim the right to call me at any time for military service. It is not possible to go from the Philippines to Russia, given only two days, simply because there is no such flight. Also, it is not possible (as in: every postal service refuses to accept it) to send any postal mail from the Philippines to Russia, due to sanctions, so I cannot avail of the option to send these documents by registered post. Yes I understand that I must be jailed for this post. That's why the anonymous account.
- AnimalMuppet 2y ago
  Stay free, friend. But I wonder: How many people does he gain by this kind of thing? Thousands would not be enough. He needs hundreds of thousands.
- petre 2y ago
  Why would you go back to Russia? I would run as far away from it as possible and seek citizenship of a small island nation, or even the Philippines. Look what Pavel Durov did. He's anything but stupid.
  - bugmenot43 2y ago
    I wouldn't go back; this is mentioned only to demonstrate that the requirements were not even possible to comply with. Please also consider the cost of obtaining a citizenship of a different country. It would take me more than 10 years to earn the necessary amount of money, and my passport expires in 5 years.
petre 2y ago
I would love to share your enthusiasm but I can't. Russia has restarted their war industry, they have enough resources to build more modern military hardware. Everybody has been sending their '70s and '80s stuff into Ukraine in order to replace it with modern equipment (former Warsaw pact, current NATO members and even the US) or earn some dough (DPRK, Iran). At the end of the day it's the dumb shells combined with the drones and the US hardware that made a difference in this war. When Ukraine was left without them, Russia gained the frontline initiative which it still holds. This is why it's imperative to keep a steady flow of military aid to Ukraine.

deleted 2y ago

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bugmenot43 2y ago

He doesn't need to formally impose a conscription when military commisariats can effectively kidnap people and the propaganda can silence anyone who complains. What happens often is that they send notices, "Please arrive at the military commisariat building for the update of your personal data." Then, when the person arrives, "please sign here, or you will not be able to leave," on a notice to undergo a medical checkup by military medics. The medics ignore diseases and say "you are ready to serve" even when documents from state-funded hospitals are presented, proving the opposite. My own story: I live in the Philippines since March 7, 2022. According to Russian laws, just before 6 months of staying abroad, or before the planned trip that is expected to take more than 6 months, one must submit documents that prove that, and therefore, according to the Russian constitution, that one must not be counted for the purpose of recruiting into the army. I asked the local government officers for a certificate of residence and got it, albeit not confirming the initial period of my stay; they could only confirm the period since May 9, 2022 with their records. I also had a stamp in my passport confirming the date when I left. I submitted scans of both documents through the government portal, only to get, effectively, this in response: "According to our records, you are still in Russia. If this is not true, please come to the military commissariat closest to your registered address in Russia and submit documents in person. You have two days to do that." I didn't go there; therefore, my request was declined in the end, and they still claim the right to call me at any time for military service. It is not possible to go from the Philippines to Russia, given only two days, simply because there is no such flight. Also, it is not possible (as in: every postal service refuses to accept it) to send any postal mail from the Philippines to Russia, due to sanctions, so I cannot avail of the option to send these documents by registered post. Yes I understand that I must be jailed for this post. That's why the anonymous account.

AnimalMuppet 2y ago
Stay free, friend. But I wonder: How many people does he gain by this kind of thing? Thousands would not be enough. He needs hundreds of thousands.
petre 2y ago
Why would you go back to Russia? I would run as far away from it as possible and seek citizenship of a small island nation, or even the Philippines. Look what Pavel Durov did. He's anything but stupid.
- bugmenot43 2y ago
  I wouldn't go back; this is mentioned only to demonstrate that the requirements were not even possible to comply with. Please also consider the cost of obtaining a citizenship of a different country. It would take me more than 10 years to earn the necessary amount of money, and my passport expires in 5 years.

petre 2y ago

I would love to share your enthusiasm but I can't. Russia has restarted their war industry, they have enough resources to build more modern military hardware. Everybody has been sending their '70s and '80s stuff into Ukraine in order to replace it with modern equipment (former Warsaw pact, current NATO members and even the US) or earn some dough (DPRK, Iran). At the end of the day it's the dumb shells combined with the drones and the US hardware that made a difference in this war. When Ukraine was left without them, Russia gained the frontline initiative which it still holds. This is why it's imperative to keep a steady flow of military aid to Ukraine.