3 ms·
Nate Silver's 2012 Election Forecast (Obama 50.5%)
- brown 14y agoMisleading headline. 61.8% chance of winning. Expected 50.5% of popular vote.
- programd 14y agoThe really interesting content is the explanation of what goes into creating the election models. Basically, polls (with all their problems) and some very basic economic stats. Can HN denizens whip up a better model using public data?