The x86 tax ALREADY matters. Intel was only able to increase the number of decoders by adding entirely independent decoder complexes while reducing the number o

The x86 tax ALREADY matters. Intel was only able to increase the number of decoders by adding entirely independent decoder complexes while reducing the number of decoders per branch. In practice, this means that decode increases for branchy code, but non-branchy code will be limited to just 3 decoders. In contrast, an ARM X4 or Apple M4 can decode 10 instructions under all conditions. This also play into ideas like Larabee/Knights processors where you basically want the tiniest core possible attached to a massive SIMD engine. x86 decode eats up a lot of real estate. Even worse, x86 decode adds a bunch of extra stages which in turn increase the size of the branch predictor. That's not the biggest issue though. Dealing with all of this and all the x86 footguns threaded throughout the pipeline slows down development. It takes more designers and more QAs more time to make and test everything. ARM can develop a similar CPU design for a fraction of the cost compared to AMD/Intel and in less time too because there's simply fewer edge cases they have to work with. This ultimately means the ARM chips can be sold for significantly less money or higher margins.