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I think it will also do something more serious. If ai continues to improve the amount of software engineers employed will decrease. 1 software engineer can bec

I think it will also do something more serious. If ai continues to improve the amount of software engineers employed will decrease. 1 software engineer can become 10x with a better ai. In the further future 20x. People are worried about the investment bubble. I’m worried about the employment bubble. It’s sort of opposing metrics if ai does pan out your job is at risk. If it doesn’t, your ai investments are at risk. I think ultimately it’s your job that will be obsolete.

rs999gti 2y ago
> If ai continues to improve the amount of software engineers employed will decrease. AI is already affecting the junior dev/intern space. Seniors and mid developers really don't need juniors around, there is a GPT that you can ask questions to and get the boilerplate back that you would usually send to the juniors to think through and develop for you.
- sebastianz 2y ago
  You can't NOT have juniors, because that is what seniors evolve from :) Otherwise when all current seniors die there would be nobody left to do programming.
  - titusjohnson 2y ago
    See COBOL
- deeth_starr_v 2y ago
  Not in my experience. LLMs are nowhere near replacing a junior dev. Maybe you can have a junior dev fix their bug ridden garbage responses but that's not replacing them. It's possible this may be true in some domains now, but not in any I work in
theappsecguy 2y ago
Boy am I tired of people propelling this completely baseless narrative. Everything that I have seen from ai makes me very secure that I’ll have work for far longer than desired.
- ninetyninenine 2y ago
  Follow the trend line. It’s not about the current state of ai. It’s about how fast it’s improving and the trajectory. Ai is now leaps and bounds ahead of a mentally retarded human which was deemed impossible less than a decade ago. Also you’re biased. I talk in terms of economics and jobs in general. You talk about you feeling “secure” and you having “work”. You’re thinking of your own security. I’m thinking about the population from a dispassionate perspective. You need to be more logical.

rs999gti 2y ago

> If ai continues to improve the amount of software engineers employed will decrease. AI is already affecting the junior dev/intern space. Seniors and mid developers really don't need juniors around, there is a GPT that you can ask questions to and get the boilerplate back that you would usually send to the juniors to think through and develop for you.

sebastianz 2y ago
You can't NOT have juniors, because that is what seniors evolve from :) Otherwise when all current seniors die there would be nobody left to do programming.
- titusjohnson 2y ago
  See COBOL
deeth_starr_v 2y ago
Not in my experience. LLMs are nowhere near replacing a junior dev. Maybe you can have a junior dev fix their bug ridden garbage responses but that's not replacing them. It's possible this may be true in some domains now, but not in any I work in

theappsecguy 2y ago

Boy am I tired of people propelling this completely baseless narrative. Everything that I have seen from ai makes me very secure that I’ll have work for far longer than desired.

ninetyninenine 2y ago
Follow the trend line. It’s not about the current state of ai. It’s about how fast it’s improving and the trajectory. Ai is now leaps and bounds ahead of a mentally retarded human which was deemed impossible less than a decade ago. Also you’re biased. I talk in terms of economics and jobs in general. You talk about you feeling “secure” and you having “work”. You’re thinking of your own security. I’m thinking about the population from a dispassionate perspective. You need to be more logical.