The experience curve is asymptotic[1]. What do we get if we look at say, FLOPS per US $ over time? This[2]. There is no reason to think batteries are any diffe

The experience curve is asymptotic[1]. What do we get if we look at say, FLOPS per US $ over time? This[2]. There is no reason to think batteries are any different, the only margin you have is to argue over which part of the curve you think we're in. A sigmoid curve[3]. [1] https://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/wholefarm/html/c5-208.html https://www.extension.iastate.edu/agdm/wholefarm/html/c5-208... [2] https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Number-of-flops-per-United-States-dollar-by-year-Almost-mirroring-the-change-in-computer_fig3_367400092 https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Number-of-flops-per-Unit... [3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sigmoid_function