13 ms·

It does't work to get fair odds (estimated value 1) when the gains are a nice dinner downtown and a loss might be financial servitude.

noduerme 2y ago
One thing's for sure, $100,000 in today's dollars won't buy you dinner by the time the bet's resolved.
- playingalong 2y ago
  Doesn't the phrase "today's dollars" imply the practical value will stay the same?
- netsharc 2y ago
  If we're going to worry about inflation, we might as well worry about the climate burning up our planet. Maybe I'm being overly pessimistic, but the next ~100 years we'll be bothered trying to have enough food and water and killing ~80% (or more) of humans of the planet who want our food, water, and shelter from the extreme weather that we won't be sending anything to chase the Voyagers...
  - elzbardico 2y ago
    Nah. This is basically the worst of the worst IPCC scenarios, highly unlikely but for some reason the preferred ones by journalists and self-serving politicians as well as big green industry grifters.
    - withinboredom 2y ago
      Back of the napkin math shows it to be the most likely, especially with some of the more recent discoveries in regards to water evaporation and co2 emissions. IPCC is sorely outdated by this point.
    - netsharc 2y ago
      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4S9sDyooxf4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4S9sDyooxf4 TL;DW (poorly): Even IPCC scientists are sort of refusing to believe pessimistic data.
      - elzbardico 2y ago
        I hope we are getting to the point were rationality will prevail again. We need a balanced view of things, having only -1 on this comment of min here, on HN, which by nature is a climate doomer central fills me with hope.
  - almost_usual 2y ago
    The only solution is technological advancement. If humanity doesn’t rise to the challenge (degrowth) this could happen. Fortunately there are smart people all over the world solving problems everyday and that is likely to continue.
    - netsharc 2y ago
      As the ancient South Park meme says... 1. Technological advancement 2. ? 3. Climate change fixed
      - almost_usual 2y ago
        As I said either advance or die. Reducing energy consumption isn’t an option, it will continue to grow unbound.
Sharlin 2y ago
I could take the bet at 1:100 odds too.

noduerme 2y ago

One thing's for sure, $100,000 in today's dollars won't buy you dinner by the time the bet's resolved.

playingalong 2y ago
Doesn't the phrase "today's dollars" imply the practical value will stay the same?
netsharc 2y ago
If we're going to worry about inflation, we might as well worry about the climate burning up our planet. Maybe I'm being overly pessimistic, but the next ~100 years we'll be bothered trying to have enough food and water and killing ~80% (or more) of humans of the planet who want our food, water, and shelter from the extreme weather that we won't be sending anything to chase the Voyagers...
- elzbardico 2y ago
  Nah. This is basically the worst of the worst IPCC scenarios, highly unlikely but for some reason the preferred ones by journalists and self-serving politicians as well as big green industry grifters.
  - withinboredom 2y ago
    Back of the napkin math shows it to be the most likely, especially with some of the more recent discoveries in regards to water evaporation and co2 emissions. IPCC is sorely outdated by this point.
  - netsharc 2y ago
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4S9sDyooxf4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4S9sDyooxf4 TL;DW (poorly): Even IPCC scientists are sort of refusing to believe pessimistic data.
    - elzbardico 2y ago
      I hope we are getting to the point were rationality will prevail again. We need a balanced view of things, having only -1 on this comment of min here, on HN, which by nature is a climate doomer central fills me with hope.
- almost_usual 2y ago
  The only solution is technological advancement. If humanity doesn’t rise to the challenge (degrowth) this could happen. Fortunately there are smart people all over the world solving problems everyday and that is likely to continue.
  - netsharc 2y ago
    As the ancient South Park meme says... 1. Technological advancement 2. ? 3. Climate change fixed
    - almost_usual 2y ago
      As I said either advance or die. Reducing energy consumption isn’t an option, it will continue to grow unbound.

Sharlin 2y ago

I could take the bet at 1:100 odds too.