2 ms·
Isn't this just a mixup in terminology and the meaning of "likelihood"? It seems from the article that odds of survival approximately double in the cited data.
by jp57 2y ago
Isn't this just a mixup in terminology and the meaning of "likelihood"? It seems from the article that odds of survival approximately double in the cited data.
EDIT: I run into this same mixup in other contexts. Gompertz's law on mortality is often described as "the likelihood of mortality" or "the mortality rate" doubling every eight years, both of which are impossible once likelihood and/or rate are above 0.5. But odds can keep doubling indefinitely.
- defen 2y ago> It seems from the article that odds of survival approximately double in the cited data. What are the actual numbers for the 2 different odds of survival you're comparing here?
- jp57 2y agoFrom the article: As far as I can tell, the justification for the quote is probably in Table 1, col. 1. Baseline mortality rate (white newborn + white dr) is 290 (per 100k). Black newborn is +604 above that giving 894/100k. Then -494 from that when it is black newborn + black dr giving 400/100k. So the black newborn mortality rate is more than cut in half when the doctor is also black. Black newborn survival rate 894/100k. Survival odds = (100k-894)/894, or about 111-to-1. Black newborn + black dr survival rate 400/100k. Survival odds (100k-400)/400, or about 249-to-1.