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This article feels like stating an opinion. I suppose the autopilot analogy is at the heart of their argument but the argument as of now feels a bit too flat. T
by noobermin 2y ago
This article feels like stating an opinion. I suppose the autopilot analogy is at the heart of their argument but the argument as of now feels a bit too flat. There are definitely some jobs that technology completely displaced, and there are some that merely made something more accessible. For example, grinding grain with the advent of modern milling equipment vs microwaves. Milling machines make hand driven milling something of a niche whereas microwaves arguable have displaced no jobs in cooking and food preparation. We need more of an argument as to why GenAI will be more of a microwave technology vs a mill.
Anyway, I actually am more towards this is a hype cycle that will pass, it's just the article itself didn't really drive home the argument in my opinion.
- paulcole 2y ago> This article feels like stating an opinion You nailed it. This kind of thing should be saved for a personal blog and not printed in a scientific journal.
- WhiteNoiz3 2y agoIt literally says "my personal blog" at the top
- fer 2y agoI could publish a peer-reviewed paper on how that was the joke.
- paulcole 2y agosave it for your personal blog
- BonitaPersona 2y agowait, is Your Personal Blog a new peer-reviewed scientific journal?
- WhiteNoiz3 2y agoHe's not arguing that no jobs will be displaced, he's arguing that jobs will change, engineering may become more reliable, new types of software jobs may be created.
- bob1029 2y ago> Milling machines make hand driven milling something of a niche whereas microwaves arguable have displaced no jobs in cooking and food preparation. I would argue that generative AI in the hands of an already skilled developer is equivalent to the mill scenario. One person's expertise leveraged by way of this tool can allow for output that is orders of magnitude greater. The mere inertia of the "machine" encourages more productivity than otherwise. It is almost as if it is pulling you forward when you use it properly. Knowing when not to use it is also very important. The concerns over hallucinatory output do not seem as relevant to me in this scenario of highly-skilled milling machine operator. You expose yourself to something for 10k+ hours and you will immediately recognize when it does something funny. Novices will cause trouble in any domain regardless of quirks in their tools. I don't think lack of experience should be conflated with hallucinations when evaluating the impact these tools might have at large.
- tartuffe78 2y agoI've worked as a developer with developers for 10+ years, and I sure as hell don't always recognize when they start doing something funny... Not sure I'd be able to keep up with monitoring thousands of lines of generated code beyond simple boiler plate stuff.
- WWWMMMWWW 2y agoIt's like having a team of hyperactive interns at your disposal. They'll fetch you all the latest libs, best practices, code samples, etc. But they have no idea how to apply it to the business case at hand, how to secure the code, what real world edge cases to protect against. And half the time their code is suboptimal or doesn't quite compile ... and wait till they try complex async ... It's a force-multiplier for good/experienced engineers, but it's going to devastate the market for white-collar sweatshops.