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Yeah. But nothing critical has happened yet due to sanctions and unlikely to happen anytime soon. At current rate Putin can fund war indefenetely just by pumpin

by SXX 2y ago

Yeah. But nothing critical has happened yet due to sanctions and unlikely to happen anytime soon. At current rate Putin can fund war indefenetely just by pumping money into economy and making society pay for it. Old soviet joke: Dad: Looks like vodka will become more expensive. Son: Dad, are you going to drink less now? Dad: No, son, now you are going to eat less.

JumpCrisscross 2y ago
> nothing critical has happened yet due to sanctions The semiconductor shortage is militarily relevant, as are the increasing delays in repairing damaged refineries and power plants [1]. > current rate Putin can fund war indefenetely Setting aside demographics, his war engine relies on oil, an increasingly-stranded asset [2]. (Over geopolitical time scales.) Putin is blowing grandma’s inheritance on fast cars. [1] https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/us-sanctions-hamper-russian-efforts-repair-refineries-sources-say-2024-04-04/#:~:text=The%20attacks,stream%20of https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/us-sanctions-ham... [2] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/12/big-oil-given-stark-warning-as-a-major-supply-surplus-expected-by-2030.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/12/big-oil-given-stark-warning-...
- SXX 2y ago
  > The semiconductor shortage is pretty big What semiconductor shortage? Who is affected by them? Russia is buying literally everything through Turkey, Kazakhstan and other ex-USSR countries. US and EU exports to ex-USSR countries are booming. Of course Russia can't just sneak up some giant oil refinery or LPG equipment, but semiconductors are super easy to smuggle. Even more so since they have unlimited budget.
  - JumpCrisscross 2y ago
    > What semiconductor shortage? Who is affected by them? Russia is buying literally everything through Turkey, Kazakhstan and other ex-USSR countries Which increases cost and lag time. It also means they’re restricted to commodity components; it’s even harder for them to have custom components fabricated. Blockade runners have always been a thing. The point of the blockade is to increase cost, lag and uncertainty. That’s the difference between blockade/sanctions and siege.
    - baybal2 2y ago
      [dead]

by SXX 2y ago

JumpCrisscross 2y ago

> nothing critical has happened yet due to sanctions The semiconductor shortage is militarily relevant, as are the increasing delays in repairing damaged refineries and power plants [1]. > current rate Putin can fund war indefenetely Setting aside demographics, his war engine relies on oil, an increasingly-stranded asset [2]. (Over geopolitical time scales.) Putin is blowing grandma’s inheritance on fast cars. [1] https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/us-sanctions-hamper-russian-efforts-repair-refineries-sources-say-2024-04-04/#:~:text=The%20attacks,stream%20of https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/us-sanctions-ham... [2] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/12/big-oil-given-stark-warning-as-a-major-supply-surplus-expected-by-2030.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/12/big-oil-given-stark-warning-...

SXX 2y ago
> The semiconductor shortage is pretty big What semiconductor shortage? Who is affected by them? Russia is buying literally everything through Turkey, Kazakhstan and other ex-USSR countries. US and EU exports to ex-USSR countries are booming. Of course Russia can't just sneak up some giant oil refinery or LPG equipment, but semiconductors are super easy to smuggle. Even more so since they have unlimited budget.
- JumpCrisscross 2y ago
  > What semiconductor shortage? Who is affected by them? Russia is buying literally everything through Turkey, Kazakhstan and other ex-USSR countries Which increases cost and lag time. It also means they’re restricted to commodity components; it’s even harder for them to have custom components fabricated. Blockade runners have always been a thing. The point of the blockade is to increase cost, lag and uncertainty. That’s the difference between blockade/sanctions and siege.
  - baybal2 2y ago
    [dead]