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Not sure what to make of an analysis that amounts to: "To the contrary, Russia does need the Crimea, because natural gas reverses. Although it actually does n
by racional 2y ago
Not sure what to make of an analysis that amounts to: "To the contrary, Russia does need the Crimea, because natural gas reverses. Although it actually does not need to extract them, it would just be a nice bonus of they could." In any case we're talking about an augmentation of some 180 bcm in the offshore regions of the Crimea it is claiming, on top of Russia's proven reserves of some 40000-50000 depending on whom you ask.
So no, Russia doesn't need the Crimea's resources either. It is however definitely very hurtful to Ukraine to not have access to those resources -- which speaks more to the true intent behind the annexation move.
It is necessary for Russia to invade ...
It isn't necessary for Russia to do anything at this point -- other than pick up its toys and go home.
- djao 2y agoGas isn't easily shippable like oil. Most of Russia's gas is in Siberia, inaccessible for purposes of shipping to Europe. Ukraine holds the only other gas reserves in Europe other than Russia. Gas supply is inelastic, meaning that even minor competition can lead to a big drop in prices. So yes, Russia "needs" to keep Ukraine out of the European gas market.
- racional 2y agoYes, there's an incremental point to be made about the location of the gas reserves. But to get to the real point here - why do you keep defending the actions of a blatant 19th century-style imperialist bully, as if it's some kind of calm, rational actor? That's just, you know, doing what it needs to do?
- hot_gril 2y agoIs invading a country to maintain a gas monopoly not bullying? It seems far-fetched that this is their entire reason, though.
- djao 2y agoYou are wrong. I am not defending Russia's actions. I am explaining Russia's actions. Big difference. Putin is a greedy son of a bitch. This is not a defense. It is an explanation.
- racional 2y agoThen you could perhaps be more precise in your choice of actors here: In particular -- Russia most certainly does not "need" to dominate its neighbors. It's just what the current regime feels it needs to do to maintain its chances of survival. Big difference, as you say.
- djao 2y agoYou're deeply misreading the English language. When I say "I need my phone" I am obviously not claiming that my phone is necessary for basic survival. There are different levels of need, and there exists a level where Russia (believes it) needs Crimea.
- racional 2y agoDisagree fundamentally with the idea that countries hold "beliefs" about anything. Political figures and other individuals with their hands at the levers of power, on the other hand, do.
- hot_gril 2y agoYou're nitpicking the words. It's common to refer to the government of a country by the name of the country when talking about government actions.
- racional 2y agoYeah, but they're doing it a lot, and in a way that's just -- weird. And seems designed to evoke empathy. Specifically when they keep saying "Russia needs [to do various awful things]" when referring to the desires of the current regime.