4 ms·

The LLM/generative-AI genie is out of the lamp. I'm just some random midwit, but some predictions: - Slop will continue to become cheaper to generate, and peop

The LLM/generative-AI genie is out of the lamp. I'm just some random midwit, but some predictions: - Slop will continue to become cheaper to generate, and people will only notice the obvious stuff - Hyperpersonalized content will abound, yet authenticity will run dry - The lack of authenticity in electronic channels will drive a small segment of people offline into less fakeable (for now) social contexts - Humans online will walk a treadmill of increasingly convoluted shibboleths / Gnirut tests (reverse Turing tests ;)) to self-identify as likely not AI-generated, i.e., subtly run-on sentences that are intelligible but slightly non-conformist to prevailing AI model outputs, and usage of old-school emoticons and other quirks - Humans will walk on similar "Gnirut treadmills" for visual art, speech, video, and music - AI models will gladly chase humans along these Gnirut treadmills, filling in canyons and sections of the Uncanny Valley with fractally sophisticated humanlike content

scrps 2y ago
- The lack of authenticity in electronic channels will drive a small segment of people offline into less fakeable (for now) social contexts I think this segment might start small but I think it will grow rapidly if the utility of the internet is dwarfed with low quality crap. The belief that non-technical people won't catch on to the shenanigans and simply look elsewhere is a bad bet some are making and I think everyone living on the internet during covid gave non-technical people an intuitive feeling for all the manipulation and tenuous quality of the internet as a tool/public utility they can trust in any form.
- citizenpaul 2y ago
  Hop on various markertplace apps like craiglist or facebook market and you will discover there already exists a decent chunk of invisible population that largely rejects the online world for all but basic communication means.
4star3star 2y ago
Fifteen years ago (I remember the apartment where I had this thought), it occurred to me that time was running out to write an authentic novel. Soon, computers would generate whole stories in an endless variety of styles, and even if future authors would hand write a book from start to finish, they would likely have been influenced by other artificial writing at some point. Readers would be unable to emotionally connect with authors due to the nagging awareness that the text might have been fully or partially generated by an unthinking, unfeeling machine. Though I try, I fail to think of a comparable scenario in our past, at least as relates to language. You can look around whatever room you are in and try to identify an object that was made by human hands rather than a factory process. That's a fact that always makes me a bit sad. I think we're headed in a similar direction with the language we consume. Craftsmanship falls by the wayside, and our world loses even more of the human touch that connects us with one another.
- axpvms 2y ago
  Interesting thought. Looking around the room I'm in the only think I'm sure was definitely handmade is a musical instrument, because I know the guy who made it for me. And even then it uses parts which were machine made: strings, tuners, bridge etc.
- BeFlatXIII 2y ago
  Thank you for your reminder that I should finish rereading If on a winter's night a traveler. It has sections that, IIRC, deal with similar themes.
noman-land 2y ago
I weirdly think the shibbolethization of human culture will be a good thing because it will encourage everyone to be creative, lest they be accused of being a bot and ignored.
pixl97 2y ago
Once we get to the point where models are or are nearly continuous learning and are getting data streamed from thousands of sources I feel it may be very hard to figure out if humans are leading the Gnirut or following.

scrps 2y ago

- The lack of authenticity in electronic channels will drive a small segment of people offline into less fakeable (for now) social contexts I think this segment might start small but I think it will grow rapidly if the utility of the internet is dwarfed with low quality crap. The belief that non-technical people won't catch on to the shenanigans and simply look elsewhere is a bad bet some are making and I think everyone living on the internet during covid gave non-technical people an intuitive feeling for all the manipulation and tenuous quality of the internet as a tool/public utility they can trust in any form.

citizenpaul 2y ago
Hop on various markertplace apps like craiglist or facebook market and you will discover there already exists a decent chunk of invisible population that largely rejects the online world for all but basic communication means.

4star3star 2y ago

Fifteen years ago (I remember the apartment where I had this thought), it occurred to me that time was running out to write an authentic novel. Soon, computers would generate whole stories in an endless variety of styles, and even if future authors would hand write a book from start to finish, they would likely have been influenced by other artificial writing at some point. Readers would be unable to emotionally connect with authors due to the nagging awareness that the text might have been fully or partially generated by an unthinking, unfeeling machine. Though I try, I fail to think of a comparable scenario in our past, at least as relates to language. You can look around whatever room you are in and try to identify an object that was made by human hands rather than a factory process. That's a fact that always makes me a bit sad. I think we're headed in a similar direction with the language we consume. Craftsmanship falls by the wayside, and our world loses even more of the human touch that connects us with one another.

axpvms 2y ago
Interesting thought. Looking around the room I'm in the only think I'm sure was definitely handmade is a musical instrument, because I know the guy who made it for me. And even then it uses parts which were machine made: strings, tuners, bridge etc.
BeFlatXIII 2y ago
Thank you for your reminder that I should finish rereading If on a winter's night a traveler. It has sections that, IIRC, deal with similar themes.

noman-land 2y ago

I weirdly think the shibbolethization of human culture will be a good thing because it will encourage everyone to be creative, lest they be accused of being a bot and ignored.

pixl97 2y ago

Once we get to the point where models are or are nearly continuous learning and are getting data streamed from thousands of sources I feel it may be very hard to figure out if humans are leading the Gnirut or following.