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I've read enough things that suggest a "blockade" is much more likely than an "invasion" that I can't really make sense of this article. Here's an example I fi
by nkurz 2y ago
I've read enough things that suggest a "blockade" is much more likely than an "invasion" that I can't really make sense of this article. Here's an example I find persuasive: https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/atlantic-council-strategy-paper-series/a-maritime-blockade-of-taiwan-by-the-peoples-republic-of-china-a-strategy-to-defeat-fear-and-coercion/ https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/atlantic-coun...
I don't see how this "hellscape" would be useful against a non-kinetic blockade. It would seem to involve the US pre-emptively declaring war on China, which seems likely to lead to a nuclear war we don't want. Is the described approach actually effective against something the Chinese will portray as an "quarantine"?
Or have I been misled, and a full scale sneak invasion across the strait is what we should expect?
- RecycledEle 2y ago> I've read enough things that suggest a "blockade" is much more likely than an "invasion" If China blockades Taiwan, the US has time to bring in naval assets, land-based assets, and everything else from all over the world. If China invades and wins in a week, any American assets that are close enough to defend Taiwan risk defeat in detail. What can the US do? What can one aircraft carrier do against 7 wolf packs of 7 subs each, all of which are expendable?