About the next World War, some people said it is already being waged, and some people said it is never going to happen. And some people said that World War 2 ne

About the next World War, some people said it is already being waged, and some people said it is never going to happen. And some people said that World War 2 never ended. If you are talking about a "traditional" hot war. I think it is unlikely that it happens in the immediate future (< 5 years). I have thought about the scenarios: - War and politics are usually intertwined. People wage wars because they cannot fix the internal political squabbles so they wage war to their neighbors. - So far, the only major player that is waging a traditional hot war is Russia (v.s. Ukraine and other NATO members in certain ways). - So far, none of the other major players is in a major crisis -- or maybe I should say, they never completely recovered from the last crisis and so far have been prolonging the inevitable with some success. And I don't see a way that such success may suddenly be elusive to them. Both China and the US have internal problems, but so far none is violent enough to even make major reforms. - The road to destruction, IMO, is always refinement -> reform -> war -> revolution. We are simply not there yet. I think China is at second stage, US is between first and second stage, and EU is sort of in the same place. Only Russia goes to the third stage, albeit with a mediocre show. Anyway, I don't believe that a world war is impending. Some local wars should be expected, but nothing major except that in the future we will learn in history books that those lead to the inevitable.