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VIX, a measure of S&P 500 implied volatility, is pretty low at 13, so the options market does not anticipate a high probability of a stock market crash, which o
by Bostonian 2y ago
VIX, a measure of S&P 500 implied volatility, is pretty low at 13, so the options market does not anticipate a high probability of a stock market crash, which of course does not rule it out.
- giantg2 2y agoSort of. VIX being low means the volatility is low right now. If you want to look at what the market think, you'd have to look at the premiums for the various strike prices. I would guess the market anticipates hitting 20ish within the next year. That's still not super high. 13 seems low even by historical standards. I might need to place a bet on VIX going up depending on what the option prices look like.
- Bostonian 2y agoTo see what the VIX futures market implies future VIX will be, see http://vixcentral.com/ http://vixcentral.com/ . The implied future values are higher than current but not especially high compared to history.
- JSDevOps 2y agoThat can change in a day. So that’s not a thing.