I don't think city voters will swing for a Republican in the gubernatorial race, unless the Republicans field a Bloomberg Independent-type (which they can't, be

I don't think city voters will swing for a Republican in the gubernatorial race, unless the Republicans field a Bloomberg Independent-type (which they can't, because their own base has rejected that kind of politician). What's more likely, IMO is that overall city turnout will be severely depressed in 2026, and Hochul may find herself counting on an uncomfortably slim, demographically homogeneous, and purple suburban voter base. That's what she's used to as a Buffalo politico, and I don't think she's fully come to terms with the reality that that doesn't "play" at the statewide level.