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Dario Amodei, CEO and co-founder of Anthropic, recently said that AI capability has been following an exponential growth curve for the last ten years, a straigh
by panarky 2y ago
Dario Amodei, CEO and co-founder of Anthropic, recently said that AI capability has been following an exponential growth curve for the last ten years, a straight line on a log scale, and he hasn't seen any indication that the slope of that line is changing at all.
- RcouF1uZ4gsC 2y agoWould you expect him to say anything differently? “it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary (or company valuation) depends on his not understanding it.” - Upton Sinclair (with edits)
- panarky 2y agoI would expect that he's seen capabilities that haven't been released to the public yet, and that those capabilities continue to follow that straight line on a log chart.
- riku_iki 2y ago> AI capability has been following an exponential growth curve Math benchmark: Minevra, Jun 2022: 50.3% Opus, Mar 2024: 60.1% And there is a high chance it leaked to Opus training data, since it is old and now popular benchmark.