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These locations required many decades of thoughtful planning to almost reach 2.0 TFR (sans the first example, which is over 2). The wealthier a country is, the
by mensetmanusman 2y ago
These locations required many decades of thoughtful planning to almost reach 2.0 TFR (sans the first example, which is over 2).
The wealthier a country is, the more $ required to break the opportunity cost calculus.
E.g. the US would require over $200k in subsidies per child to reach native fertility rates over 2.1 amongst the non-orthodox religious subset.
Likelihood that this happens amongst the boomer class that still thinks like Malthus on average? Zero. They have all the political power, but no incentive.
- toomuchtodo 2y agoIn the US, the cost to raise a child 0-18 per the Brookings Institute (2022), is $310k. This does not include day care or college. Children are a luxury good in the current economic system config, plain and simple, and there is no will whatsoever to invest materially in moving the needle towards support for parents. And so, the TFR marches ever downward. Future political reps might have the will to course correct, but the current folks will have to age out first.