There was a Scott Alexander post about how the point of expertise is the ability to out predict the statistical odds. I’m struggling to find that post. Edit:

There was a Scott Alexander post about how the point of expertise is the ability to out predict the statistical odds. I’m struggling to find that post. Edit: Found it. https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/heuristics-that-almost-always-work https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/heuristics-that-almost-alwa...